Cumulative rainfall over the past five days has left hillside areas across Bali in a highly unstable condition. The risk of secondary landslides in Ubud and Gianyar remains Very High, even though rainfall briefly eased during the morning hours.
Compared to the previous day, weather conditions remain unstable across Bali. While overall intensity is similar, saturated ground and ongoing strong winds increase cumulative risk, particularly in central highlands and southern coastal areas.
1. Daily Forecast Summary & RealFeel
(Sources: AccuWeather & Weather Underground)
| Parameter | Today’s Forecast | Key Details |
|---|---|---|
| Air Temperature | 25°C – 31°C | Mornings feel extremely humid before rainfall begins |
| RealFeel Temperature | Up to 36°C | High heat index; outdoor activities require proper hydration |
| Peak Rainfall | 1:30 PM – 6:00 PM WITA | Radar shows dense rain cells moving in from the west (Gilimanuk) |
| Wind Speed | 25 – 45 km/h | Strong southwesterly winds, especially in exposed coastal areas |
2. Area-Specific Weather Outlook
(Sources: Windy.com & BMKG)
Ubud & Central Bali – CRITICAL CONDITIONS
Heavy rain is expected to intensify by midday. The main Ubud road near BRI / Dewa Indra remains fully closed due to a landslide measuring approximately 20 meters in depth. Traffic congestion is expected to worsen on alternative routes through Mas Village.
Canggu & Seminyak
Short but intense storm bursts accompanied by strong winds. Localized flooding is likely in shortcut roads and low-lying areas prone to overflow.
Uluwatu & The Bukit Peninsula
Strong and sudden wind gusts pose a serious risk, particularly for light motorcycles on open cliffside roads.
Gilimanuk
Remain alert for sudden port closures if heavy rainfall causes a sharp drop in visibility.
3. Red Zones: Disaster & Safety Warnings
(Source: BMKG Hydrometeorological Analysis)
Extreme Landslide Risk
Hillside areas in Gianyar (Peliatan, Tegallalang) and Bangli remain highly vulnerable. Water-saturated soil structures may shift without warning.
Falling Trees Hazard
Following recent incidents in Puspem Badung, avoid parking near roadside trees, power poles, or large billboards during peak wind periods between 12:00 PM – 5:00 PM WITA.
Coastal Hazards
Strong rip currents are active along Bali’s southern coastline. Red flags are expected to be raised from Kuta to Canggu.
4. Maritime & Transportation Update
(Source: Windy.com – ECMWF Model)
- Wave Height: Indian Ocean swells are forecast to reach 3.5 – 4.5 meters
- Fast Boat Services: Sanur–Nusa Penida/Lembongan crossings face high delay risk. Operations may be fully suspended if wave conditions worsen.
- Road Conditions: Key routes in central Ubud remain closed. Travelers are strongly advised to use updated GPS navigation due to frequent local traffic diversions.
5. Actionable Safety Tips
- Avoid Unsafe Parking: Do not park under large trees, even briefly during rainfall.
- Wildlife Awareness: The rainy season increases activity of monitor lizards and snakes. Villas near rivers should ensure all mesh doors and access points are secured.
- Travel Updates: Check the latest alerts from Hey Bali News before undertaking inter-district travel today.
6. Safety Advice for Expats and Tourists in Bali
For Long-Stay Expats
Remain alert to infrastructure disruptions, particularly road closures and drainage issues near residential areas.
For Short-Term Tourists
Adjust outdoor plans and prioritize indoor activities. Follow hotel and local authority guidance closely.
Key Reminder
Weather impacts are cumulative during monsoon periods. Even moderate rainfall today may trigger secondary hazards due to saturated ground conditions.
Data Sources & Forecast Models
- BMKG: Official early warnings and hydrometeorological risk assessment
- Windy.com: ECMWF & GFS wind and swell modeling
- AccuWeather: RealFeel temperature and hourly precipitation radar
- The Weather Channel / Weather Underground: Community station and hyperlocal observations
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