High-intensity afternoon thunderstorms are expected to close the weekend across central and southern Bali.
Compared to the previous day, rainfall may arrive later but with stronger convective storms, increasing risks of ground movement in Ubud and extreme marine conditions along the southern coastline.
1. Daily Forecast Summary & RealFeel
Sources: AccuWeather & Weather Underground
| Parameter | Today’s Forecast | Key Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Air Temperature | 24°C – 31°C | Stable range, but the air feels heavy and oppressive. |
| RealFeel Temperature | Around 35°C | Humidity near 92% makes conditions feel hotter than measured. |
| Peak Rain Window | 14:00 – 19:00 WITA | Short-duration but intense thunderstorms likely. |
| Wind Speed | 20 – 40 km/h | Strong westerly burst may topple unsecured signage and light structures. |
2. Regional Weather Forecast (Key Tourist Areas)
Sources: BMKG & Windy.com
| Key Zone | Dominant Conditions | Impact / Advisory |
|---|---|---|
| Kuta, Seminyak, Canggu | Cloudy morning, afternoon thunderstorms | Strong coastal winds. Watch for flying objects around beach clubs. |
| Ubud (Central Highlands) | Heavy rain, landslide risk | Critical status: Soil fully saturated. Jalan Raya Ubud remains under close monitoring. |
| Uluwatu, Nusa Dua (South) | Partly cloudy, strong winds | Very dangerous near cliff edges. Avoid standing or taking photos close to drop-offs. |
| Denpasar, Sanur (Urban Areas) | Moderate rain in the afternoon | Localized flooding possible in low-lying areas during return traffic. |
3. High-Risk Zones and Hazard Advisory
Geological Hazard – Ubud
The main access along Jalan Raya Ubud near the BRI Bank and Dewa Indra statue remains high risk following a deep road collapse. Obey full road closure barriers.
Falling Trees and Vegetation Risk
Following recent incidents in Badung, avoid parking under large or old trees, particularly in green corridors of Gianyar and Badung.
Wildlife Awareness
Continuous rainfall may drive wildlife such as monitor lizards or snakes into drier residential areas. Remain alert in open spaces, as seen in recent viral footage.
4. Maritime and Coastal Conditions
Source: Windy.com Swell Visualization
| Area | Conditions | Advisory |
|---|---|---|
| Southern Swell | 3.5 – 4.5 meters | Extremely dangerous. Strong rip currents along the entire south coast. |
| Fast Boat Crossings | Potential cancellations | Afternoon services from Sanur to Nusa Penida may be suspended if winds increase. |
| Air Transport (DPS Airport) | Delay risk | Cumulonimbus clouds near the airport may disrupt afternoon landings. |
5. Practical Guidance for Today
Weekend Logistics
If returning south from Ubud, depart before 12:00 WITA to avoid the combination of heavy rain and congestion on Mas alternative routes.
Property Safety
Ensure villa drainage is clear. Westerly winds are strong enough to move lightweight outdoor furniture.
Health Advisory
Humidity at 92% increases dehydration risk even without direct sunshine. Aim for at least three liters of water today.
6. Safety Advice for Expats and Tourists in Bali
For Long-Stay Expats
Monitor local advisories closely, especially around Ubud and Badung. Avoid non-essential travel during the afternoon storm window.
For Short-Term Tourists
Skip beach and cliff activities today. Plan indoor alternatives and follow hotel safety instructions.
Key Reminder
Short breaks of calm weather do not indicate safety. Storm intensity can increase rapidly in the afternoon.
Data Sources & Forecast Models
• BMKG: Official early warnings and risk assessment
• Windy.com: Wind, swell, and rainfall visualization
• AccuWeather: RealFeel temperature and hourly forecast
• The Weather Channel / Weather Underground: Community data and hyperlocal accuracy
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