Ongoing risk following recent infrastructure damage in Ubud and Badung, where heavily saturated ground significantly raises the chance of secondary landslides.
Compared to the previous day, rainfall intensity is expected to ease slightly in the morning but return from midday through late afternoon, accompanied by strong westerly winds.
1. Daily Forecast Summary & RealFeel
| Parameter | Today’s Forecast | Key Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Air Temperature | 24°C – 30°C | Air feels oppressive and damp from early morning. |
| RealFeel Temperature | Up to 35°C | Very high humidity (above 90%) makes conditions feel hotter than actual readings. |
| Peak Rain Window | 12:00 – 18:00 WITA | Radar indicates dense rain clouds advancing from the northwest. |
| Wind Speed | 20 – 40 km/h | Persistent westerly winds increase the risk of falling branches. |
2. Regional Weather Forecast (Key Tourist Areas)
| Key Zone | Dominant Conditions | Impact / Advisory |
|---|---|---|
| Kuta, Seminyak, Canggu | Moderate rain with strong winds | Watch for coastal flooding driven by combined rainfall and elevated swell. |
| Ubud (Central Highlands) | Prolonged heavy rain | Critical: Jalan Raya Ubud remains under close monitoring after recent road collapse. |
| Uluwatu & Bukit Peninsula | Thick cloud cover, localized rain | Strong cliff-edge winds pose high risk for motorbike riders. |
| Bedugul & Kintamani | Heavy rain with dense fog | Visibility may drop below 10 meters during the afternoon. |
3. High-Risk Zones and Hazard Advisory
Secondary Landslide Risk
Peliatan and central Ubud remain red zones following a deep landslide on 18 December. Avoid cliffside routes across Gianyar and Bangli.
Falling Tree Hazard
Badung government center area and major green corridors. Based on yesterday’s incident involving a fallen tree striking vehicles, parking beneath large trees during rainfall is strongly discouraged.
Mountain Closures
All hiking routes to Mount Batur and Mount Agung remain temporarily closed due to extreme weather and lightning risk.
4. Maritime and Coastal Conditions
| Area | Conditions | Advisory |
|---|---|---|
| Southern Coast (Uluwatu) | High waves, 3.0 – 4.0 meters | Total ban on swimming and surfing along the south coast. |
| Fast Boat Routes (Sanur – Nusa Penida) | Severely disrupted | Most morning services cancelled. Afternoon operations depend on live Windy radar monitoring. |
| Road Traffic (Ubud Area) | Rerouted | Jalan Raya Ubud near Dewa Indra statue remains fully closed. Use Desa Mas alternative routes. |
5. Practical Guidance for Today
| Condition | Recommended Action |
|---|---|
| Health | Hot RealFeel followed by cold rain may lower immunity. Maintain hydration and consider vitamin intake. |
| Road Safety | If traveling through Ubud, allow an additional 30–45 minutes due to congestion on diversion routes. |
| Wildlife Awareness | Heavy rain may push wildlife such as snakes or monitor lizards toward dry residential areas. Stay alert near gardens and riverbanks. |
6. Safety Advice for Expats and Tourists in Bali
For Long-Stay Expats
Monitor official updates on road closures and local risk zones, particularly around Ubud and Badung. Limit unnecessary travel during peak rain hours.
For Short-Term Tourists
Avoid highland and cliffside destinations today. Adjust plans toward indoor activities and follow hotel advisories.
Key Reminder
Post-storm conditions can be as dangerous as the storm itself. Landslides, falling trees, and sudden road closures remain possible even during brief breaks in rain.
Data Sources & Forecast Models
• BMKG: Official early warnings and hydrometeorological risk assessment
• Windy.com: Wind, wave, and rainfall radar visualization
• AccuWeather: RealFeel temperature and hourly forecast
• The Weather Channel / Weather Underground: Community data and hyperlocal accuracy
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